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  4. Lincoln Red Imps vs Omonia Nicosia

Lincoln Red Imps vs Omonia Nicosia 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 3rd Qualifying Round (Qualifying)

Lincoln Red Imps vs Omonia Nicosia stats: how the match was played

Europa League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Omonia Nicosia had more than twice the shots on target

Lincoln Red Imps

Omonia Nicosia

2

Shots on target

6

7

Corners

2

5

Yellow cards

2

The match between Lincoln Red Imps and Omonia Nicosia ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted an Omonia Nicosia win at 37% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Omonia Nicosia – Benfica prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

Lincoln Red Imps vs Omonia Nicosia — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Omonia Nicosia to win

Wrong
Our model 37%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Omonia Nicosia ahead at half-time.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Lincoln Red Imps Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lincoln Red Imps 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Omonia Nicosia Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Omonia Nicosia 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Omonia Nicosia 2+ goals.

Our model 64%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Lincoln Red Imps vs Omonia Nicosia 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Lincoln Red Imps vs Omonia Nicosia. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Europa League - Europe
Lincoln Red ImpsLincoln Red Imps1
Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia1

Winner

12 74%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

137%
X26%
237%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Lincoln Red Imps31%69%64%36%
Omonia Nicosia32%68%64%36%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Lincoln Red Imps86%14%95%5%
Omonia Nicosia85%15%95%5%

1st Half

125%
X41%
234%

1st Score

139%
X8%
254%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

27%

1-1

19%

X-X

15%

X-2

14%

X-1

12%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.1%

0-1

9.4%

1-0

9.4%

1-2

7.8%

0-0

7.7%

2-1

7.7%

2-0

6.4%

0-2

5.8%

2-2

5.1%

3-1

3.4%

1-3

3.3%

0-3

3.3%

3-0

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Omonia Nicosia – Benfica prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

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