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Mjällby vs Salzburg 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 Play-offs (Qualifying)

Fair result
MjällbyMjällby

0–1

SalzburgSalzburg
1.0Chances (xG)2.5

On these chances Mjällby would usually take 0.6 points and Salzburg 2.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Salzburg.

Mjällby −0.6 pts vs chancesSalzburg +0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Mjällby vs Salzburg stats: how the match was played

Europa League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Salzburg had more than twice the shots on target

Mjällby

Salzburg

1

Shots on target

8

2

Big chances

3

2

Corners

6

1

Yellow cards

0

31%

Possession

69%

The match between Mjällby and Salzburg ended 0-1. Our AI model correctly predicted an Salzburg win with 47% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Celje – Salzburg prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

Mjällby vs Salzburg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Salzburg to win

Correct
Our model 47%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Salzburg ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 39%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Mjällby Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mjällby 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Salzburg Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Salzburg 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Mjällby vs Salzburg 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Mjällby vs Salzburg. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Europa League - Europe
MjällbyMjällby0
SalzburgSalzburg1

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

130%
X23%
247%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%39%61%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT51%49%76%24%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Mjällby33%67%64%36%
Salzburg22%78%50%50%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Mjällby85%15%95%5%
Salzburg74%26%89%11%

1st Half

125%
X37%
239%

1st Score

140%
X5%
255%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

34%

1-1

15%

X-2

14%

X-X

12%

X-1

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.3%

1-2

9.2%

0-1

7.6%

2-1

6.9%

0-2

6.4%

2-2

6.3%

1-0

5.8%

1-3

5.3%

0-0

4.7%

0-3

4.1%

2-0

4.0%

2-3

3.7%

3-1

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Celje – Salzburg prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

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