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Viktoria Plzeň vs Union Saint-Gilloise 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 1)

Fair result
Viktoria PlzeňViktoria Plzeň

0–3

Union Saint-GilloiseUnion Saint-Gilloise
1.5Chances (xG)3.0

On these chances Viktoria Plzeň would usually take 0.6 points and Union Saint-Gilloise 2.2; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Union Saint-Gilloise.

Viktoria Plzeň −0.6 pts vs chancesUnion Saint-Gilloise +0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Viktoria Plzeň vs Union Saint-Gilloise stats: how the match was played

Europa League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Union Saint-Gilloise had more than twice the shots on target

Viktoria Plzeň

Union Saint-Gilloise

5

Shots on target

13

2

Big chances

7

5

Corners

1

2

Yellow cards

2

48%

Possession

53%

The match between Viktoria Plzeň and Union Saint-Gilloise ended 0-3. Our AI model predicted a Viktoria Plzeň win at 45% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Union Saint-Gilloise – Hapoel Be'er Sheva prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

Viktoria Plzeň vs Union Saint-Gilloise — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viktoria Plzeň to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Union Saint-Gilloise to win.

Our model 45%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 376 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,692 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 3,954 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.5% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 43%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 6,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Viktoria Plzeň Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viktoria Plzeň 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Union Saint-Gilloise Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Union Saint-Gilloise 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 67%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,267 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Viktoria Plzeň vs Union Saint-Gilloise 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Viktoria Plzeň vs Union Saint-Gilloise. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Europa League - Europe
Viktoria PlzeňViktoria Plzeň0
Union Saint-GilloiseUnion Saint-Gilloise3

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

145%
X25%
230%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Viktoria Plzeň24%76%54%46%
Union Saint-Gilloise36%64%67%33%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Viktoria Plzeň78%22%91%9%
Union Saint-Gilloise88%12%96%4%

1st Half

134%
X43%
223%

1st Score

153%
X6%
240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-1

16%

2-2

16%

X-X

14%

X-2

11%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.1%

1-0

9.4%

2-1

8.7%

0-1

7.3%

2-0

7.2%

1-2

6.9%

0-0

6.4%

2-2

5.9%

0-2

4.6%

3-1

4.4%

3-0

4.1%

3-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Union Saint-Gilloise – Hapoel Be'er Sheva prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

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