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Lillestrøm vs Torreense

Lillestrøm vs Torreense 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 1)

Smash-and-grab

Torreense won with fewer chances than Lillestrøm

Lillestrøm

1–2

Torreense

2.3Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Lillestrøm would usually take 2.1 points and Torreense 0.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Lillestrøm.

Lillestrøm −2.1 pts vs chancesTorreense +2.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Lillestrøm vs Torreense stats: how the match was played

Europa League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Lillestrøm had more than twice the shots on target

Lillestrøm

Torreense

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

67%

Possession

34%

The match between Lillestrøm and Torreense ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Lillestrøm win at 44% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Ferencváros – Torreense prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).

Lillestrøm vs Torreense — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lillestrøm to win

Wrong

Our model 44%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Lillestrøm ahead at half-time.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Lillestrøm Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lillestrøm 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Lillestrøm 2+ goals.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Torreense Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Torreense 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 64%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Lillestrøm vs Torreense 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Lillestrøm vs Torreense. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Europa League - Europe

Lillestrøm1

Torreense2

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

· FT

Europa League - Europe

Lillestrøm1

Torreense2

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

144%

X24%

232%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	21%	79%	43%	57%	55%	45%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	21%	79%	43%	57%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	55%	45%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	24%	76%	54%	46%	78%	22%	91%	9%
	33%	67%	64%	36%	85%	15%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	54%	46%
	33%	67%	64%	36%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	78%	22%	91%	9%
	85%	15%	95%	5%

1st Half

135%

X41%

224%

1st Score

153%

X6%

241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

2-2

18%

X-1

15%

X-X

15%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.0%

2-1

8.6%

1-0

8.2%

1-2

7.5%

2-0

6.8%

0-1

6.7%

2-2

6.0%

0-0

5.6%

3-1

4.7%

0-2

4.5%

3-0

3.6%

1-3

3.5%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Ferencváros – Torreense prediction & betting tips (Oct 22, 2026).