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Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split

Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

1. HNL - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)

Fair result

Istra 1961

2–2

Hajduk Split

2.0Chances (xG)2.0

On these chances Istra 1961 would usually take 1.4 points and Hajduk Split 1.4; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Hajduk Split.

Istra 1961 −0.4 pts vs chancesHajduk Split −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split stats: how the match was played

1. HNL

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Hajduk Split had clearly more shots on target

Istra 1961

Hajduk Split

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

43%

Possession

57%

The match between Istra 1961 and Hajduk Split ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted an Hajduk Split win at 55% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Istra 1961 – Rijeka prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).

Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 1. HNL

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hajduk Split to win

Wrong

Our model 55%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 2,497 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,762 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,345 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 68%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 4,002 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Hajduk Split ahead at half-time.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 2,300 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Istra 1961 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Istra 1961 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 74%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 1,603 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 71.9%).

Hajduk Split Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hajduk Split 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 1,031 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

1. HNL - Croatia

Istra 19612

Hajduk Split2

Winner

2 55%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-2 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

· FT

1. HNL - Croatia

Istra 19612

Hajduk Split2

Winner

2 55%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-2 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

122%

X24%

255%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	22%	78%	44%	56%	58%	42%	82%	18%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	22%	78%	44%	56%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	58%	42%	82%	18%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	41%	59%	74%	26%	91%	9%	98%	2%
	18%	82%	47%	53%	74%	26%	89%	11%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	41%	59%	74%	26%
	18%	82%	47%	53%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	91%	9%	98%	2%
	74%	26%	89%	11%

1st Half

119%

X41%

240%

1st Score

134%

X6%

260%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

32%

X-2

18%

X-X

14%

1-1

12%

X-1

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-2

10.8%

1-1

10.5%

0-1

10.3%

0-2

8.8%

0-0

6.2%

2-1

6.2%

1-3

5.8%

0-3

5.6%

2-2

5.5%

1-0

5.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split — Recent Form

Hajduk Split have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Istra 1961 have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Hajduk Split

Istra 1961

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Hajduk Split

3/5

Istra 1961

0/5

Both Teams to Score

Hajduk Split

2/5

Istra 1961

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Hajduk Split

4/5

Istra 1961

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Hajduk Split

3/5

Istra 1961

3/5

First Half Result

Hajduk Split

3/5

Istra 1961

3/5

Correct Score

Hajduk Split

0/5

Istra 1961

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Istra 1961 – Rijeka prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).