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  3. 1. HNL
  4. Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb

Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb 1-3 Score & Prediction Review

1. HNL - Season 2025/2026 (Round 25)

Fair result
Hajduk SplitHajduk Split

1–3

Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
1.4Chances (xG)2.3

On these chances Hajduk Split would usually take 0.9 points and Dinamo Zagreb 1.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Dinamo Zagreb.

Hajduk Split −0.9 pts vs chancesDinamo Zagreb +1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb stats: how the match was played

1. HNL

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Dinamo Zagreb had more than twice the shots on target

Hajduk Split

Dinamo Zagreb

3

Shots on target

7

4

Big chances

7

7

Corners

7

1

Yellow cards

3

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Hajduk Split and Dinamo Zagreb ended 1-3. Our AI model predicted a Hajduk Split win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Both Teams To Score — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Istra 1961 – Hajduk Split prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).

Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 1. HNL

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hajduk Split to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Dinamo Zagreb to win.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 26%

Our track record

In 1,071 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,188 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 73%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 4,585 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.1% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 41%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 6,706 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Hajduk Split Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hajduk Split 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,475 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Dinamo Zagreb Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dinamo Zagreb 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 67%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,302 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
1. HNL - Croatia
Hajduk SplitHajduk Split1
Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb3

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

140%
X27%
233%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT26%74%50%50%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%86%14%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Hajduk Split27%73%61%39%
Dinamo Zagreb32%68%67%33%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Hajduk Split84%16%95%5%
Dinamo Zagreb88%12%96%4%

1st Half

131%
X41%
228%

1st Score

151%
X8%
241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

2-2

20%

X-X

16%

X-1

13%

X-2

12%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.8%

1-0

9.8%

2-1

9.1%

0-1

8.5%

1-2

7.9%

0-0

7.7%

2-0

6.6%

2-2

5.5%

0-2

5.1%

3-1

3.8%

3-0

3.4%

1-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Istra 1961 – Hajduk Split prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).

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