2. Leagues
  3. 1. HNL
  4. Gorica vs Rijeka

Gorica vs Rijeka 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

1. HNL - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)

Robbed

Rijeka drew despite more chances

GoricaGorica

0–0

RijekaRijeka
0.2Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Gorica would usually take 0.6 points and Rijeka 2.1; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Rijeka.

Gorica +0.4 pts vs chancesRijeka −1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Gorica vs Rijeka stats: how the match was played

1. HNL

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Rijeka had more than twice the shots on target

Gorica

Rijeka

0

Shots on target

2

1

Big chances

2

2

Corners

8

0

Yellow cards

3

31%

Possession

69%

The match between Gorica and Rijeka ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted an Rijeka win at 52% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Gorica – Lokomotiva Zagreb prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Gorica vs Rijeka — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · 1. HNL

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rijeka to win

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 56%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 817 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Rijeka ahead at half-time.

Our model 45%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Gorica Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gorica 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 79%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Rijeka Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rijeka 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Rijeka 2+ goals.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Gorica vs Rijeka 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Gorica vs Rijeka. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
1. HNL - Croatia
GoricaGorica0
RijekaRijeka0

Winner

2 52%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

0-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

121%
X27%
252%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT30%70%56%44%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT67%33%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Gorica45%55%79%21%
Rijeka23%77%55%45%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Gorica94%6%99%1%
Rijeka80%20%93%7%

1st Half

118%
X45%
237%

1st Score

131%
X10%
259%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

31%

X-X

19%

X-2

18%

1-1

11%

X-1

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

13.1%

1-1

11.9%

0-2

10.3%

1-2

9.6%

0-0

9.6%

1-0

7.2%

2-1

5.4%

0-3

5.3%

1-3

4.4%

2-2

4.4%

2-0

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Gorica – Lokomotiva Zagreb prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores