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Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Tiberias

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Tiberias 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Ligat ha'Al - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Smash-and-grab

Ironi Tiberias won with less than half the chances

Maccabi Petah Tikva

1–2

Ironi Tiberias

3.0Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Maccabi Petah Tikva would usually take 2.4 points and Ironi Tiberias 0.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Maccabi Petah Tikva.

Maccabi Petah Tikva −2.4 pts vs chancesIroni Tiberias +2.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Tiberias stats: how the match was played

Ligat ha'Al

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Maccabi Petah Tikva had more than twice the shots on target

Maccabi Petah Tikva

Ironi Tiberias

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

68%

Possession

33%

The match between Maccabi Petah Tikva and Ironi Tiberias ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Maccabi Petah Tikva win at 55% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Tiberias — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligat ha'Al

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Maccabi Petah Tikva to win

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 68%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Maccabi Petah Tikva ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Maccabi Petah Tikva Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Maccabi Petah Tikva 2+ goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Maccabi Petah Tikva 0–1 goals.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Ironi Tiberias Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ironi Tiberias 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 75%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Tiberias 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Tiberias. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Ligat ha'Al - Israel

Maccabi Petah Tikva1

Ironi Tiberias2

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

· FT

Ligat ha'Al - Israel

Maccabi Petah Tikva1

Ironi Tiberias2

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

155%

X25%

219%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	22%	78%	44%	56%	58%	42%	80%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	22%	78%	44%	56%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	58%	42%	80%	20%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	17%	83%	45%	55%	72%	28%	88%	12%
	43%	57%	75%	25%	92%	9%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	17%	83%	45%	55%
	43%	57%	75%	25%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	72%	28%	88%	12%
	92%	9%	98%	2%

1st Half

143%

X39%

218%

1st Score

161%

X7%

232%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

36%

X-1

18%

X-X

15%

2-2

10%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

11.0%

2-1

10.3%

1-0

10.1%

2-0

9.2%

0-0

6.7%

3-0

6.0%

3-1

5.7%

2-2

5.6%

1-2

5.4%

0-1

5.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score