Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Ligat ha'Al - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Goal-fest alert

More goals than usual expected in Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

3.3goals expected · Ligat ha'Al average 2.9

Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.

Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv score prediction

Ligat ha'Al

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Goal-fest alert3.3 goals expected

3.3 goals in total: more goals than a typical Ligat ha'Al game (average 2.9).

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.

Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.

Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.

How we measure →
The match Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv will be played on Monday, October 19 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 7 of the Ligat ha'Al, played in Israel. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.

Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Beitar JerusalemBeitar Jerusalem–
Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv–

Winner

X2 66%

BTTS*

Yes 65%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

Full Time

134%
X25%
241%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT16%84%36%64%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT47%53%74%26%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Beitar Jerusalem27%73%57%43%
Maccabi Tel Aviv24%77%52%48%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Beitar Jerusalem81%19%93%7%
Maccabi Tel Aviv76%24%91%9%

1st Half

130%
X41%
228%

1st Score

147%
X4%
249%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

22%

1-1

19%

X-X

14%

X-1

13%

X-2

12%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

4%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.8%

1-2

8.7%

2-2

7.4%

2-1

7.3%

0-1

6.1%

1-0

5.7%

1-3

5.1%

0-2

5.0%

2-0

4.4%

2-3

4.3%

0-0

4.2%

3-1

4.0%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: the stats that stand out

Ligat ha'Al

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Maccabi Tel Aviv: always on the scoresheet, hard to break and banker as favourites

Always on the scoresheet
Maccabi Tel Aviv1/10

Maccabi Tel Aviv failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 27%).

Hard to break
Maccabi Tel Aviv3/10

Maccabi Tel Aviv conceded first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 46%).

Banker as favourites
Maccabi Tel Aviv5/7

Maccabi Tel Aviv won 5 of 7 as favourites (league 53%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: attack vs defence

Ligat ha'Al

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Ligat ha'Al teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Beitar JerusalemBeitar Jerusalem: weak attack, weak defence (1.43 xG, 1.52 xGA a game)
  • Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv: good attack, good defence (2.12 xG, 1.41 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv form and luck check

Ligat ha'Al

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ligat ha'Al games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Beitar Jerusalem
    Beitar JerusalemWasteful · −4 goals
    +0.8
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv
    Maccabi Tel AvivClinical · +3 goals
    +1.0

Last 5 matches

Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
D
W
W
W
W
1st in table
Beitar JerusalemBeitar Jerusalem
W
W
W
W
L
5th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Beitar Jerusalem 3rd of 14 · Maccabi Tel Aviv 2nd of 14

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Ligat ha'Al

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Ligat ha'Al gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Beitar Jerusalem and Maccabi Tel Aviv games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Ligat ha'Al average (54%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%
Beitar Jerusalem6 of 10
Maccabi Tel Aviv9 of 10
BTTSleague 54%
Beitar Jerusalem6 of 10
Maccabi Tel Aviv8 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 237 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv corners, cards and goal times

Ligat ha'Al

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Maccabi Tel Aviv score early, Beitar Jerusalem late

Beitar Jerusalem

Maccabi Tel Aviv

5.2

Corners won · league 4.6

5.6

3.1

Corners conceded · league 4.6

4.5

3.1

Cards · league 2.5

2.3

2.3

Opponents' cards · league 2.5

2.7

36%

Goals before half-time · league 43%

58%

36%

Goals after 75' · league 26%

12%

13%

Conceded before half-time · league 43%

43%

53%

Conceded after 75' · league 26%

43%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Beitar JerusalemBeitar Jerusalem
4/5
Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
3/5

Both Teams to Score

Beitar JerusalemBeitar Jerusalem
3/5
Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
5/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Beitar JerusalemBeitar Jerusalem
4/5
Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Beitar JerusalemBeitar Jerusalem
3/5
Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
2/5

First Half Result

Beitar JerusalemBeitar Jerusalem
3/5
Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
0/5

Correct Score

Beitar JerusalemBeitar Jerusalem
1/5
Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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