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Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers 3-4 Score & Prediction Review

J-League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

Fair result
Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos

3–4

Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers
1.0Chances (xG)2.6

On these chances Yokohama F. Marinos would usually take 0.6 points and Kashima Antlers 2.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Kashima Antlers.

Yokohama F. Marinos −0.6 pts vs chancesKashima Antlers +0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers stats: how the match was played

J-League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Yokohama F. Marinos

Kashima Antlers

4

Shots on target

5

2

Big chances

5

0

Corners

9

0

Yellow cards

1

32%

Possession

68%

The match between Yokohama F. Marinos and Kashima Antlers ended 3-4. Our AI model correctly predicted an Kashima Antlers win with 40% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Tokyo – Kashima Antlers prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · J-League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kashima Antlers to win

Correct
Our model 40%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,085 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 530 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 797 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.5% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 67%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 3,972 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 45%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 6,656 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.3% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Yokohama F. Marinos Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yokohama F. Marinos 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,444 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Kashima Antlers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kashima Antlers 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 1,582 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers 3-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
J-League - Japan
Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos3
Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers4

Winner

X2 64%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

136%
X24%
240%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%45%55%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT57%43%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Yokohama F. Marinos30%70%62%38%
Kashima Antlers27%73%58%42%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Yokohama F. Marinos84%16%95%5%
Kashima Antlers82%18%93%7%

1st Half

126%
X45%
229%

1st Score

144%
X6%
250%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

22%

1-1

18%

X-X

17%

X-2

14%

X-1

13%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.3%

1-2

8.5%

0-1

8.1%

2-1

8.1%

1-0

7.9%

0-2

6.1%

2-2

5.9%

0-0

5.9%

2-0

5.3%

1-3

4.3%

3-1

3.9%

3-2

3.1%

0-3

3.1%

2-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Tokyo – Kashima Antlers prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).

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