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Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

J-League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

Fair result
Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka

0–1

Vissel KobeVissel Kobe
0.9Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances Avispa Fukuoka would usually take 1.5 points and Vissel Kobe 1.2; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Vissel Kobe.

Avispa Fukuoka −1.5 pts vs chancesVissel Kobe +1.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe stats: how the match was played

J-League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Vissel Kobe had clearly more shots on target

Avispa Fukuoka

Vissel Kobe

2

Shots on target

3

1

Big chances

1

3

Corners

1

2

Yellow cards

1

45%

Possession

55%

The match between Avispa Fukuoka and Vissel Kobe ended 0-1. Our AI model correctly predicted an Vissel Kobe win with 41% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Avispa Fukuoka – Gamba Osaka prediction & betting tips (Oct 21, 2026).

Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · J-League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vissel Kobe to win

Correct
Our model 41%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 75%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Avispa Fukuoka Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Vissel Kobe Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vissel Kobe 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
J-League - Japan
Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka0
Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

132%
X27%
241%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%54%46%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT65%35%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Avispa Fukuoka35%65%69%31%
Vissel Kobe28%72%61%39%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Avispa Fukuoka89%11%97%3%
Vissel Kobe85%15%95%5%

1st Half

122%
X50%
228%

1st Score

143%
X8%
248%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

21%

X-1

18%

X-X

17%

1-1

15%

X-2

14%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.3%

0-1

10.7%

1-0

9.3%

1-2

8.5%

0-0

8.4%

0-2

7.7%

2-1

7.4%

2-0

5.2%

2-2

4.9%

1-3

3.7%

0-3

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Avispa Fukuoka – Gamba Osaka prediction & betting tips (Oct 21, 2026).

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