Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF United 3-0 Score & Prediction Review
J-League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–0
JEF UnitedOn these chances Sanfrecce Hiroshima would usually take 2.4 points and JEF United 0.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF United stats: how the match was played
J-League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima had more than twice the shots on target
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
JEF United
8
Shots on target
3
6
Big chances
1
3
Corners
0
1
Yellow cards
1
54%
Possession
46%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · J-League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,061 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 6,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,183 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,980 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Sanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,715 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,476 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
JEF United 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF United 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
JEF United0Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3JEF United0Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14% | 86% | 41% | 59% |
| 50% | 50% | 81% | 19% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68% | 32% | 86% | 14% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
40%
X-1
20%
X-X
14%
2-2
7%
X-2
5%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
4%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
11.8%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
10.4%
1-1
10.2%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
5.8%
0-1
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
1-2
4.0%
3-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score