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Mito Hollyhock vs Gamba Osaka 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

J-League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)

Fair result
Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock

1–1

Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
1.4Chances (xG)1.9

On these chances Mito Hollyhock would usually take 1.1 points and Gamba Osaka 1.7; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Mito Hollyhock.

Mito Hollyhock −0.1 pts vs chancesGamba Osaka −0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Mito Hollyhock vs Gamba Osaka stats: how the match was played

J-League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Mito Hollyhock

Gamba Osaka

4

Shots on target

4

1

Big chances

3

9

Corners

9

1

Yellow cards

0

31%

Possession

69%

The match between Mito Hollyhock and Gamba Osaka ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted an Gamba Osaka win at 52% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Avispa Fukuoka – Gamba Osaka prediction & betting tips (Oct 21, 2026).

Mito Hollyhock vs Gamba Osaka — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · J-League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gamba Osaka to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Mito Hollyhock to win.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 33%

Our track record

In 113 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 26.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.6% than to our 50–55%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 43%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Mito Hollyhock Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mito Hollyhock 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Gamba Osaka Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gamba Osaka 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Mito Hollyhock vs Gamba Osaka 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Mito Hollyhock vs Gamba Osaka. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
J-League - Japan
Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1
Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1

Winner

2 52%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

0-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

124%
X24%
252%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%49%51%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT61%39%83%17%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Mito Hollyhock41%59%74%26%
Gamba Osaka20%80%51%49%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Mito Hollyhock91%9%98%2%
Gamba Osaka77%23%91%9%

1st Half

119%
X43%
238%

1st Score

131%
X6%
262%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

30%

X-2

22%

X-X

15%

1-1

11%

X-1

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

11.3%

1-1

11.2%

1-2

9.9%

0-2

9.3%

1-0

6.8%

0-0

6.5%

2-1

6.0%

1-3

5.2%

2-2

5.0%

0-3

5.0%

2-0

3.4%

2-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Avispa Fukuoka – Gamba Osaka prediction & betting tips (Oct 21, 2026).

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