Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
J-League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)
Kashima Antlers2–1
Nagoya GrampusOn these chances Kashima Antlers would usually take 1.7 points and Nagoya Grampus 1.1; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Kashima Antlers.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus stats: how the match was played
J-League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Kashima Antlers had more than twice the shots on target
Kashima Antlers
Nagoya Grampus
6
Shots on target
1
1
Big chances
2
3
Corners
4
3
Yellow cards
1
50%
Possession
50%
Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · J-League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Kashima Antlers to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).
Our model’s pick
Kashima Antlers 2+ goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Kashima Antlers 0–1 goals.
Our track record
In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Nagoya Grampus 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Kashima Antlers2
Nagoya Grampus1Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Kashima Antlers2Nagoya Grampus1Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18% | 82% | 49% | 51% |
| 50% | 50% | 82% | 18% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74% | 26% | 90% | 10% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
X-1
25%
X-X
18%
X-2
9%
2-2
9%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
14.0%
2-0
11.0%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
8.1%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score