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Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe

Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe 4-2 Score & Prediction Review

J-League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Fair result

Kashiwa Reysol

4–2

Vissel Kobe

1.7Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Kashiwa Reysol would usually take 1.4 points and Vissel Kobe 1.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Kashiwa Reysol.

Kashiwa Reysol +1.6 pts vs chancesVissel Kobe −1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe stats: how the match was played

J-League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Kashiwa Reysol

Vissel Kobe

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

45%

Possession

55%

The match between Kashiwa Reysol and Vissel Kobe ended 4-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a Kashiwa Reysol win with 39% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kawasaki Frontale – Vissel Kobe prediction & betting tips (Oct 21, 2026).

Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · J-League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kashiwa Reysol to win

Correct

Our model 40%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 66%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 45%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Kashiwa Reysol Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kashiwa Reysol 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Vissel Kobe Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vissel Kobe 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe 4-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

J-League - Japan

Kashiwa Reysol4

Vissel Kobe2

Winner

12 74%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

· FT

J-League - Japan

Kashiwa Reysol4

Vissel Kobe2

Winner

12 74%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

139%

X26%

235%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%	56%	44%	80%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	56%	44%	80%	20%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	27%	73%	58%	42%	81%	19%	93%	7%
	30%	70%	61%	39%	83%	17%	94%	6%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	27%	73%	58%	42%
	30%	70%	61%	39%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	81%	19%	93%	7%
	83%	17%	94%	6%

1st Half

131%

X45%

224%

1st Score

153%

X6%

241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

X-X

17%

2-2

17%

X-1

15%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.6%

2-1

8.6%

1-0

8.3%

1-2

7.8%

0-1

7.2%

2-2

6.3%

2-0

5.9%

0-0

5.8%

0-2

5.0%

3-1

4.0%

1-3

3.7%

3-2

3.1%

3-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe — Recent Form

Vissel Kobe have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Kashiwa Reysol have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Vissel Kobe

Kashiwa Reysol

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Kashiwa Reysol

2/5

Vissel Kobe

5/5

Both Teams to Score

Kashiwa Reysol

4/5

Vissel Kobe

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Kashiwa Reysol

3/5

Vissel Kobe

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Kashiwa Reysol

1/5

Vissel Kobe

3/5

First Half Result

Kashiwa Reysol

0/5

Vissel Kobe

3/5

Correct Score

Kashiwa Reysol

0/5

Vissel Kobe

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Kawasaki Frontale – Vissel Kobe prediction & betting tips (Oct 21, 2026).