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Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn

Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

KNVB Beker - Season 2026/2027 2nd Preliminary Round (Qualifying)

Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn stats: how the match was played

KNVB Beker

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Purmersteijn had clearly more shots on target

Zwaluwen

Purmersteijn

Shots on target

Corners

Yellow cards

The match between Zwaluwen and Purmersteijn ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Zwaluwen win at 44% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Purmersteijn – Gemert prediction & betting tips (Oct 29, 2026).

Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · KNVB Beker

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Zwaluwen to win

Wrong

Our model 44%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 44%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Zwaluwen Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Zwaluwen 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Zwaluwen 2+ goals.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Purmersteijn Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Purmersteijn 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Purmersteijn 2+ goals.

Our model 65%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

KNVB Beker - Netherlands

Zwaluwen0

Purmersteijn1

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

· FT

KNVB Beker - Netherlands

Zwaluwen0

Purmersteijn1

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

144%

X24%

232%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	21%	79%	43%	57%	56%	44%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	21%	79%	43%	57%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	56%	44%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	25%	75%	55%	45%	78%	22%	91%	9%
	33%	67%	65%	35%	85%	15%	94%	6%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	55%	45%
	33%	67%	65%	35%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	78%	22%	91%	9%
	85%	15%	94%	6%

1st Half

132%

X44%

224%

1st Score

154%

X6%

241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

X-1

17%

2-2

17%

X-X

15%

X-2

12%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

10.9%

2-1

9.0%

1-0

8.6%

1-2

7.0%

0-1

6.7%

2-0

6.5%

0-0

5.7%

2-2

5.6%

0-2

4.8%

3-1

4.7%

3-0

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn — Recent Form

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Purmersteijn

0/1

Zwaluwen

0/1

Both Teams to Score

Purmersteijn

0/1

Zwaluwen

0/1

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Purmersteijn

0/1

Zwaluwen

0/1

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Purmersteijn

1/1

Zwaluwen

1/1

First Half Result

Purmersteijn

0/1

Zwaluwen

0/1

Correct Score

Purmersteijn

0/1

Zwaluwen

0/1

correct predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Purmersteijn – Gemert prediction & betting tips (Oct 29, 2026).