1. Cádiz vs Celta Fortuna

Cádiz vs Celta de Vigo II 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

Fair result
CádizCádiz

0–0

Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II
1.7Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Cádiz would usually take 1.9 points and Celta de Vigo II 0.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Cádiz.

Cádiz −0.9 pts vs chancesCelta de Vigo II +0.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Cádiz vs Celta de Vigo II stats: how the match was played

La Liga 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Celta de Vigo II had clearly more shots on target

Cádiz

Celta de Vigo II

3

Shots on target

5

3

Big chances

2

6

Corners

2

4

Yellow cards

3

57%

Possession

43%

The match between Cádiz and Celta de Vigo II ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted an Celta de Vigo II win at 37% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Granada – Cádiz prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Cádiz vs Celta de Vigo II — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Celta de Vigo II to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Cádiz to win.

Our model 37%Bookmakers 29%

Our track record

In 1,528 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Cádiz Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cádiz 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Celta de Vigo II Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Celta de Vigo II 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Cádiz vs Celta de Vigo II 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Cádiz vs Celta de Vigo II. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
CádizCádiz0
Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II0

Winner

12 74%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

137%
X26%
237%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%43%57%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT55%45%79%21%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Cádiz29%71%60%40%
Celta de Vigo II29%71%59%41%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Cádiz82%18%93%7%
Celta de Vigo II82%18%93%7%

1st Half

128%
X45%
227%

1st Score

146%
X7%
248%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

20%

1-1

19%

X-X

19%

X-2

14%

X-1

12%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.0%

1-2

8.1%

2-1

8.0%

0-1

7.7%

1-0

7.7%

0-0

6.7%

2-2

6.1%

0-2

5.2%

2-0

5.1%

3-1

3.9%

1-3

3.9%

3-2

3.2%

2-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Granada – Cádiz prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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