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Tenerife vs Sporting Gijón 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

La Liga 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result
TenerifeTenerife

0–1

Sporting GijónSporting Gijón
1.2Chances (xG)0.5

On these chances Tenerife would usually take 1.9 points and Sporting Gijón 0.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Tenerife.

Tenerife −1.9 pts vs chancesSporting Gijón +2.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Tenerife vs Sporting Gijón stats: how the match was played

La Liga 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Tenerife had more than twice the shots on target

Tenerife

Sporting Gijón

4

Shots on target

1

2

Big chances

2

4

Corners

1

1

Yellow cards

5

50%

Possession

50%

The match between Tenerife and Sporting Gijón ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Tenerife win at 51% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Celta de Vigo II – Tenerife prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Tenerife vs Sporting Gijón — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Tenerife to win

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 44%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Tenerife Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Tenerife 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Sporting Gijón Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sporting Gijón 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Tenerife vs Sporting Gijón 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Tenerife vs Sporting Gijón. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
La Liga 2 - Spain
TenerifeTenerife0
Sporting GijónSporting Gijón1

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

151%
X26%
224%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%48%52%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Tenerife21%79%51%49%
Sporting Gijón41%59%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Tenerife77%23%91%9%
Sporting Gijón90%10%97%3%

1st Half

137%
X44%
219%

1st Score

160%
X7%
233%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-1

19%

X-X

18%

2-2

11%

X-2

8%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.5%

1-0

11.0%

2-1

9.4%

2-0

8.9%

0-0

7.2%

0-1

6.5%

1-2

5.6%

2-2

5.2%

3-1

4.9%

3-0

4.7%

0-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Celta de Vigo II – Tenerife prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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