Sporting Gijón vs Albacete Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

La Liga 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Unlucky

Albacete are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring

−11points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10

83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games. Sporting Gijón are the other way round, ahead of their chances: about +6 points.

Bookmakers: Albacete 24% to winSporting Gijón 50%

Sporting Gijón vs Albacete score prediction

La Liga 2

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Sporting Gijón expected to create clearly more

2.7 goals in total, a little over the La Liga 2 average of 2.6.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Sporting Gijón vs Albacete: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Sporting Gijón vs Albacete — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · La Liga 2

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sporting Gijón to win

Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 2,453 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Sporting Gijón vs Albacete — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Sporting Gijón vs Albacete. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Sporting GijónSporting Gijón–
AlbaceteAlbacete–

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

151%
X25%
224%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%53%47%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT65%35%86%14%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Sporting Gijón22%78%55%45%
Albacete41%59%76%24%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Sporting Gijón80%20%93%7%
Albacete93%7%98%2%

1st Half

139%
X42%
219%

1st Score

158%
X8%
234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

31%

X-1

18%

X-X

16%

2-2

12%

X-2

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

12.3%

1-1

12.0%

2-1

10.0%

2-0

9.2%

0-0

8.0%

0-1

7.6%

1-2

6.3%

3-0

4.8%

3-1

4.8%

2-2

4.6%

0-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Sporting Gijón vs Albacete: the stats that stand out

La Liga 2

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Albacete: leaky and always chasing

Leaky
Albacete0/10

Albacete kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 27%).

Always chasing
Albacete7/10

Albacete conceded first in 7 of their last 10 (league 46%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Sporting Gijón vs Albacete: attack vs defence

La Liga 2

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other La Liga 2 teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Sporting GijónSporting Gijón: weak attack, good defence (1.22 xG, 1.32 xGA a game)
  • AlbaceteAlbacete: good attack, good defence (1.53 xG, 1.33 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Sporting Gijón vs Albacete form and luck check

La Liga 2

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 La Liga 2 games

Sporting Gijón riding their luck, Albacete unlucky

  • Sporting Gijón
    Sporting GijónBookmakers: 50% to win today.
    +5.8
  • Albacete
    AlbaceteBookmakers: 24% to win today.Wasteful · −6 goals
    −10.9

Last 5 matches

Sporting GijónSporting Gijón
W
L
W
L
L
8th in table
AlbaceteAlbacete
L
L
L
D
L
22nd in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Sporting Gijón 11th of 22 · Albacete 17th of 22

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 22 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Sporting Gijón vs Albacete: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

La Liga 2

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 La Liga 2 gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Sporting Gijón games less often than the La Liga 2 average (55%), in Albacete games more often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 50%
Sporting Gijón4 of 10
Albacete5 of 10
BTTSleague 55%
Sporting Gijón4 of 10
Albacete6 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 470 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Sporting Gijón vs Albacete corners, cards and goal times

La Liga 2

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Albacete score late

Sporting Gijón

Albacete

3.7

Corners won · league 4.7

5.2

4.9

Corners conceded · league 4.7

4.3

3.0

Cards · league 2.7

1.8

2.6

Opponents' cards · league 2.7

1.6

54%

Goals before half-time · league 45%

50%

23%

Goals after 75' · league 25%

38%

40%

Conceded before half-time · league 45%

41%

40%

Conceded after 75' · league 25%

12%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Sporting GijónSporting Gijón
2/5
AlbaceteAlbacete
3/5

Both Teams to Score

Sporting GijónSporting Gijón
3/5
AlbaceteAlbacete
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sporting GijónSporting Gijón
5/5
AlbaceteAlbacete
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sporting GijónSporting Gijón
3/5
AlbaceteAlbacete
4/5

First Half Result

Sporting GijónSporting Gijón
1/5
AlbaceteAlbacete
1/5

Correct Score

Sporting GijónSporting Gijón
0/5
AlbaceteAlbacete
1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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