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St Patrick's vs Shelbourne

St Patrick's vs Shelbourne 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Premier Division - Season 2026 (Round 34)

Smash-and-grab

Shelbourne won with less than half the chances

St Patrick's

1–2

Shelbourne

2.5Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances St Patrick's would usually take 2.4 points and Shelbourne 0.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: St Patrick's.

St Patrick's −2.4 pts vs chancesShelbourne +2.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

St Patrick's vs Shelbourne stats: how the match was played

Premier Division

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

St Patrick's had more than twice the shots on target

St Patrick's

Shelbourne

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

60%

Possession

40%

The match between St Patrick's and Shelbourne ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a St Patrick's win at 59% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: St Patrick's – Bohemians prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).

St Patrick's vs Shelbourne — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier Division

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

St Patrick's to win

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 1,801 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,704 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,304 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 63%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,402 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

St Patrick's ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 44%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 6,632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

St Patrick's Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

St Patrick's 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,462 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Shelbourne Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shelbourne 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 75%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,360 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

St Patrick's vs Shelbourne 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for St Patrick's vs Shelbourne. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premier Division - Republic of Ireland

St Patrick's1

Shelbourne2

Winner

1 59%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

2-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

· FT

Premier Division - Republic of Ireland

St Patrick's1

Shelbourne2

Winner

1 59%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

2-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

159%

X22%

219%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	19%	81%	41%	59%	53%	47%	77%	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	19%	81%	41%	59%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	53%	47%	77%	23%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	14%	86%	41%	59%	69%	31%	86%	14%
	43%	57%	75%	25%	92%	8%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	14%	86%	41%	59%
	43%	57%	75%	25%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	69%	31%	86%	14%
	92%	8%	98%	2%

1st Half

144%

X38%

218%

1st Score

164%

X5%

232%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

37%

X-1

19%

X-X

13%

2-2

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

2-1

10.8%

1-1

10.1%

1-0

9.5%

2-0

9.3%

3-1

6.5%

3-0

5.7%

2-2

5.4%

1-2

5.2%

0-1

4.8%

0-0

4.6%

3-2

4.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

St Patrick's vs Shelbourne — Recent Form

Shelbourne have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. St Patrick's have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table.

Last 5 matches

Shelbourne

St Patrick's

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

St Patrick's

1/5

Shelbourne

1/5

Both Teams to Score

St Patrick's

1/5

Shelbourne

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

St Patrick's

2/5

Shelbourne

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

St Patrick's

4/5

Shelbourne

3/5

First Half Result

St Patrick's

3/5

Shelbourne

2/5

Correct Score

St Patrick's

1/5

Shelbourne

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: St Patrick's – Bohemians prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).