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Burton Albion vs Cambridge United 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)

Fair result
Burton AlbionBurton Albion

2–2

Cambridge UnitedCambridge United
1.4Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Burton Albion would usually take 1.7 points and Cambridge United 1.0; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Cambridge United.

Burton Albion −0.7 pts vs chancesCambridge United 0.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Burton Albion vs Cambridge United stats: how the match was played

League One

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Burton Albion

Cambridge United

4

Shots on target

3

3

Big chances

2

2

Corners

7

1

Yellow cards

2

56%

Possession

44%

The match between Burton Albion and Cambridge United ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted an Cambridge United win at 35% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Cambridge United – Wycombe Wanderers prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).

Burton Albion vs Cambridge United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League One

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cambridge United to win

Wrong
Our model 35%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 81%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 49%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Burton Albion Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Burton Albion 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 70%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Cambridge United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cambridge United 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 70%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Burton Albion vs Cambridge United 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Burton Albion vs Cambridge United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
League One - England
Burton AlbionBurton Albion2
Cambridge UnitedCambridge United2

Winner

12 70%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

Full Time

135%
X30%
235%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT34%66%60%40%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT71%29%90%10%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Burton Albion35%65%70%30%
Cambridge United34%66%69%31%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Burton Albion90%10%97%3%
Cambridge United90%10%97%3%

1st Half

125%
X49%
226%

1st Score

144%
X11%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

21%

2-2

19%

1-1

18%

X-2

14%

X-1

13%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.8%

0-1

11.5%

1-0

11.4%

0-0

11.1%

2-1

7.6%

1-2

7.5%

0-2

6.7%

2-0

6.2%

2-2

4.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Cambridge United – Wycombe Wanderers prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).

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