Home
Leagues
League One
Oxford United vs Cambridge United

Oxford United vs Cambridge United 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result

Oxford United

1–1

Cambridge United

1.1Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Oxford United would usually take 1.3 points and Cambridge United 1.5; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Oxford United.

Oxford United −0.3 pts vs chancesCambridge United −0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Oxford United vs Cambridge United stats: how the match was played

League One

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Oxford United had more than twice the shots on target

Oxford United

Cambridge United

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

67%

Possession

33%

The match between Oxford United and Cambridge United ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Oxford United win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Oxford United – Wigan Athletic prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).

Oxford United vs Cambridge United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · League One

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Oxford United to win

Wrong

Our model 39%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 81%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 49%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Oxford United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Oxford United 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Cambridge United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cambridge United 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 72%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Oxford United vs Cambridge United 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Oxford United vs Cambridge United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

League One - England

Oxford United1

Cambridge United1

Winner

12 70%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

· FT

League One - England

Oxford United1

Cambridge United1

Winner

12 70%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

Full Time

139%

X30%

232%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	34%	66%	60%	40%	71%	29%	91%	9%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	34%	66%	60%	40%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	71%	29%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	32%	68%	67%	33%	88%	12%	97%	3%
	36%	64%	72%	28%	91%	9%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	32%	68%	67%	33%
	36%	64%	72%	28%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	88%	12%	97%	3%
	91%	9%	98%	2%

1st Half

129%

X49%

223%

1st Score

149%

X11%

240%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

21%

X-X

21%

2-2

17%

X-1

14%

X-2

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

13.7%

1-0

12.1%

0-0

10.9%

0-1

10.4%

2-1

8.4%

1-2

7.3%

2-0

7.0%

0-2

5.6%

2-2

4.4%

3-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Oxford United vs Cambridge United — Recent Form

Cambridge United have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Oxford United have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Cambridge United

Oxford United

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Cambridge United

3/5

Oxford United

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Cambridge United

2/5

Oxford United

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Cambridge United

1/5

Oxford United

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Cambridge United

5/5

Oxford United

4/5

First Half Result

Cambridge United

1/5

Oxford United

1/5

Correct Score

Cambridge United

2/5

Oxford United

2/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Oxford United – Wigan Athletic prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).