Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

League One - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)

Always chasing

Notts County conceded first in 8 of their last 8 (league 47%).

8/8Conceded first · Notts County

Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday score prediction

League One

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

2.8 goals in total, a little over the League One average of 2.7.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
The match Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday will be played on Tuesday, October 20 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 12 of the League One, played in England. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.

Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Notts CountyNotts County–
Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday–

Winner

1X 66%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

141%
X25%
234%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%47%53%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Notts County26%74%58%42%
Sheffield Wednesday31%69%64%36%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Notts County82%18%94%6%
Sheffield Wednesday86%14%95%5%

1st Half

132%
X45%
223%

1st Score

152%
X6%
242%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

X-1

16%

X-X

16%

2-2

16%

X-2

12%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.8%

1-0

9.0%

2-1

8.7%

1-2

7.9%

0-1

7.9%

2-0

6.7%

0-0

6.2%

2-2

5.8%

0-2

5.1%

3-1

4.2%

1-3

3.4%

3-0

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday: the stats that stand out

League One

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Notts County: always chasing and leaky

Always chasing
Notts County8/8

Notts County conceded first in 8 of their last 8 (league 47%).

Leaky
Notts County0/8

Notts County kept no clean sheet in their last 8 (league 26%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday: attack vs defence

League One

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other League One teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Notts CountyNotts County: weak attack, good defence (1.29 xG, 1.28 xGA a game)
  • Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday: good attack, good defence (1.79 xG, 1.36 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday form and luck check

League One

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 League One games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Notts County
    Notts County8 of 10 games
    −2.6
  • Sheffield Wednesday
    Sheffield Wednesday8 of 10 games
    +2.4

Last 5 matches

Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday
D
D
D
W
W
7th in table
Notts CountyNotts County
L
L
L
D
D
22nd in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Notts County 15th of 24 · Sheffield Wednesday 5th of 24

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 24 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

League One

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent League One gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Notts County and Sheffield Wednesday games more often than the League One average (54%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 53%
Notts County3 of 8
Sheffield Wednesday5 of 8
BTTSleague 54%
Notts County6 of 8
Sheffield Wednesday5 of 8

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 523 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday corners, cards and goal times

League One

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameNotts County: last 8 with these statsSheffield Wednesday: last 8 with these statsPro · free for now

Notts County score late

Notts County

Sheffield Wednesday

4.5

Corners won · league 5.1

6.9

4.9

Corners conceded · league 5.1

5.5

2.8

Cards · league 1.9

2.1

2.9

Opponents' cards · league 1.9

1.8

25%

Goals before half-time · league 43%

47%

50%

Goals after 75' · league 21%

27%

45%

Conceded before half-time · league 43%

25%

9%

Conceded after 75' · league 21%

25%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday
0/5
Notts CountyNotts County
1/5

Both Teams to Score

Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday
1/5
Notts CountyNotts County
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday
3/5
Notts CountyNotts County
4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday
4/5
Notts CountyNotts County
5/5

First Half Result

Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday
3/5
Notts CountyNotts County
3/5

Correct Score

Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday
0/5
Notts CountyNotts County
2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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