2. Leagues
  3. Liga BetPlay
  4. Llaneros vs Deportivo Pereira

Llaneros vs Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 1)

Fair result
LlanerosLlaneros

1–0

Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
2.1Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Llaneros would usually take 2.2 points and Deportivo Pereira 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Llaneros.

Llaneros +0.8 pts vs chancesDeportivo Pereira −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Llaneros vs Deportivo Pereira stats: how the match was played

Liga BetPlay

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Llaneros had more than twice the shots on target

Llaneros

Deportivo Pereira

11

Shots on target

2

1

Big chances

0

6

Corners

3

3

Yellow cards

3

0

Red cards

1

45%

Possession

55%

The match between Llaneros and Deportivo Pereira ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Llaneros win with 59% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Llaneros – Santa Fe prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Llaneros vs Deportivo Pereira — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Llaneros to win

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 80%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Llaneros Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Llaneros 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Deportivo Pereira Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Pereira 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 86%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.2% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Llaneros vs Deportivo Pereira 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Llaneros vs Deportivo Pereira. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga BetPlay - Colombia
LlanerosLlaneros1
Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira0

Winner

1 59%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Full Time

159%
X26%
215%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT33%67%60%40%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT70%30%89%11%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Llaneros20%80%52%48%
Deportivo Pereira53%47%86%14%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Llaneros79%21%93%7%
Deportivo Pereira97%3%99%1%

1st Half

142%
X45%
213%

1st Score

163%
X10%
227%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

36%

X-1

21%

X-X

18%

2-2

7%

X-2

6%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

16.2%

2-0

12.6%

1-1

11.7%

0-0

10.2%

2-1

9.7%

0-1

6.7%

3-0

6.6%

3-1

4.6%

1-2

3.7%

2-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Llaneros – Santa Fe prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores