1. Deportivo Cali vs Jaguares de Córdoba

Deportivo Cali vs Jaguares de Córdoba 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 1)

Fair result
Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali

2–0

Jaguares de CórdobaJaguares de Córdoba
1.1Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances Deportivo Cali would usually take 1.7 points and Jaguares de Córdoba 1.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Deportivo Cali.

Deportivo Cali +1.3 pts vs chancesJaguares de Córdoba −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Deportivo Cali vs Jaguares de Córdoba stats: how the match was played

Liga BetPlay

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Deportivo Cali had more than twice the shots on target

Deportivo Cali

Jaguares de Córdoba

6

Shots on target

0

1

Big chances

1

6

Corners

3

4

Yellow cards

2

60%

Possession

40%

The match between Deportivo Cali and Jaguares de Córdoba ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Deportivo Cali win with 59% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Deportivo Cali – Junior FC prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Deportivo Cali vs Jaguares de Córdoba — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Cali to win

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 81%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Deportivo Cali ahead at half-time.

Our model 46%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 531 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.

Deportivo Cali Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Cali 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Deportivo Cali 2+ goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Jaguares de Córdoba Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jaguares de Córdoba 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 86%Bookmakers 87%

Our track record

In 600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.2% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Deportivo Cali vs Jaguares de Córdoba 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Deportivo Cali vs Jaguares de Córdoba. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali2
Jaguares de CórdobaJaguares de Córdoba0

Winner

1 59%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

1-0 17%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

Full Time

159%
X26%
215%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT34%66%60%40%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT71%29%90%10%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Deportivo Cali20%80%53%47%
Jaguares de Córdoba53%47%86%14%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Deportivo Cali80%20%93%7%
Jaguares de Córdoba97%3%100%0%

1st Half

140%
X46%
214%

1st Score

163%
X10%
227%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

35%

X-1

21%

X-X

18%

2-2

7%

X-2

6%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

17.0%

2-0

12.7%

1-1

11.9%

0-0

10.0%

2-1

10.0%

0-1

6.7%

3-0

6.1%

3-1

4.5%

1-2

3.9%

2-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Deportivo Cali – Junior FC prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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