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La Equidad vs Jaguares de Córdoba 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 3)
La Equidad1–0
Jaguares de CórdobaOn these chances La Equidad would usually take 2.5 points and Jaguares de Córdoba 0.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: La Equidad.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →La Equidad vs Jaguares de Córdoba stats: how the match was played
Liga BetPlay
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
La Equidad had more than twice the shots on target
La Equidad
Jaguares de Córdoba
10
Shots on target
4
2
Big chances
0
8
Corners
1
1
Yellow cards
1
56%
Possession
44%
La Equidad vs Jaguares de Córdoba — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga BetPlay
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
La Equidad to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,496 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 5,733 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,338 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,682 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: La Equidad ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 532 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
La Equidad 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: La Equidad 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,028 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.0% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Jaguares de Córdoba 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,504 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
La Equidad vs Jaguares de Córdoba 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for La Equidad vs Jaguares de Córdoba. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
La Equidad1
Jaguares de Córdoba0Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
La Equidad1Jaguares de Córdoba0Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 33% | 67% | 59% | 41% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 69% | 31% | 89% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 57% | 43% |
| 45% | 55% | 80% | 20% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
28%
X-1
20%
X-X
19%
2-2
10%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
14.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
10.3%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score