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Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 5)

Robbed

Millonarios drew despite more chances

MillonariosMillonarios

1–1

Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali
2.0Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Millonarios would usually take 1.9 points and Deportivo Cali 0.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Millonarios.

Millonarios −0.9 pts vs chancesDeportivo Cali +0.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali stats: how the match was played

Liga BetPlay

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Millonarios had clearly more shots on target

Millonarios

Deportivo Cali

7

Shots on target

5

3

Big chances

1

7

Corners

3

5

Yellow cards

5

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Millonarios and Deportivo Cali ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Millonarios win at 57% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Fortaleza CEIF – Deportivo Cali prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Millonarios to win

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 1,794 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,453 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,298 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 79%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 49%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Millonarios Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Millonarios 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Millonarios 2+ goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,849 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Deportivo Cali Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Cali 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 83%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 1,497 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.9% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga BetPlay - Colombia
MillonariosMillonarios1
Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Full Time

157%
X26%
217%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT31%69%57%43%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT68%32%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Millonarios21%79%53%47%
Deportivo Cali48%52%83%17%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Millonarios79%21%92%8%
Deportivo Cali96%4%99%1%

1st Half

137%
X49%
215%

1st Score

163%
X10%
227%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

31%

X-1

20%

X-X

19%

2-2

9%

X-2

8%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

14.3%

1-1

12.3%

2-0

11.2%

2-1

10.5%

0-0

9.6%

0-1

7.0%

3-0

5.6%

3-1

4.9%

1-2

4.5%

2-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Fortaleza CEIF – Deportivo Cali prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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