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Rionegro Águilas vs Millonarios 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 6)

Fair result
Rionegro ÁguilasRionegro Águilas

1–1

MillonariosMillonarios
0.7Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Rionegro Águilas would usually take 1.1 points and Millonarios 1.5; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Millonarios.

Rionegro Águilas −0.1 pts vs chancesMillonarios −0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Rionegro Águilas vs Millonarios stats: how the match was played

Liga BetPlay

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Millonarios had more than twice the shots on target

Rionegro Águilas

Millonarios

2

Shots on target

5

0

Big chances

1

6

Corners

3

5

Yellow cards

4

60%

Possession

40%

The match between Rionegro Águilas and Millonarios ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted an Millonarios win at 36% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rionegro Águilas – Deportes Tolima prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Rionegro Águilas vs Millonarios — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Millonarios to win

Wrong
Our model 36%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 79%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Rionegro Águilas Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rionegro Águilas 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Millonarios Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Millonarios 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Rionegro Águilas vs Millonarios 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Rionegro Águilas vs Millonarios. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga BetPlay - Colombia
Rionegro ÁguilasRionegro Águilas1
MillonariosMillonarios1

Winner

12 69%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Full Time

133%
X31%
236%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT32%68%58%42%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT68%32%89%11%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Rionegro Águilas33%67%70%31%
Millonarios31%69%67%33%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Rionegro Águilas90%10%97%3%
Millonarios88%12%96%4%

1st Half

124%
X48%
228%

1st Score

142%
X10%
248%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

21%

2-2

19%

1-1

16%

X-2

14%

X-1

13%

2-X

7%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

14.4%

0-1

11.0%

1-0

10.4%

0-0

10.3%

1-2

8.4%

2-1

7.7%

0-2

6.1%

2-0

5.6%

2-2

5.2%

1-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rionegro Águilas – Deportes Tolima prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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