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Junior FC vs Once Caldas 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 6)

Fair result
Junior FCJunior FC

1–1

Once CaldasOnce Caldas
1.4Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Junior FC would usually take 1.8 points and Once Caldas 0.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Junior FC.

Junior FC −0.8 pts vs chancesOnce Caldas +0.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Junior FC vs Once Caldas stats: how the match was played

Liga BetPlay

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Junior FC had more than twice the shots on target

Junior FC

Once Caldas

4

Shots on target

2

1

Big chances

0

4

Corners

3

5

Yellow cards

5

47%

Possession

54%

The match between Junior FC and Once Caldas ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Junior FC win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Deportivo Cali – Junior FC prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Junior FC vs Once Caldas — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Junior FC to win

Wrong
Our model 39%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 44%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Junior FC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Junior FC 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Once Caldas Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Once Caldas 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Junior FC vs Once Caldas 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Junior FC vs Once Caldas. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga BetPlay - Colombia
Junior FCJunior FC1
Once CaldasOnce Caldas1

Winner

12 73%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

139%
X27%
234%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT26%74%50%50%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%86%14%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Junior FC28%72%61%39%
Once Caldas31%69%65%35%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Junior FC85%15%95%5%
Once Caldas87%13%96%4%

1st Half

132%
X44%
225%

1st Score

151%
X8%
242%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

X-X

18%

2-2

17%

X-1

14%

X-2

12%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

12.6%

1-0

9.6%

2-1

9.1%

0-1

8.5%

1-2

8.4%

0-0

7.5%

2-0

6.3%

2-2

5.5%

0-2

5.2%

3-1

3.7%

1-3

3.3%

3-0

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Deportivo Cali – Junior FC prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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