Hard to break
1/10Atlético Bucaramanga conceded first in only 1 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Atlético Bucaramanga vs Rionegro Águilas Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 7)
Riding their luck
Atlético Bucaramanga are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+9points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games. Rionegro Águilas are the other way round, behind their chances: about −6 points.
Bookmakers: Atlético Bucaramanga 49% to winRionegro Águilas 24%
Atlético Bucaramanga vs Rionegro Águilas score prediction
Liga BetPlay
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Atlético Bucaramanga expected to create clearly more
2.5 goals in total, in line with the Liga BetPlay average of 2.5.
goals expected
Atlético Bucaramanga1.6
Rionegro Águilas0.9Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Rionegro Águilas: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Atlético Bucaramanga vs Rionegro Águilas — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga BetPlay
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Atlético Bucaramanga to win
Our model 52%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 2,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 52%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 6,408 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 47%
Our track record
In 2,819 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 74%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 4,517 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 44%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 6,615 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Atlético Bucaramanga Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Atlético Bucaramanga 0–1 goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 2,779 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Rionegro Águilas Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Rionegro Águilas 0–1 goals
Our model 76%Bookmakers 75%
Our track record
In 2,563 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Atlético Bucaramanga vs Rionegro Águilas — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Rionegro Águilas. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Atlético Bucaramanga–
Rionegro Águilas–Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Atlético Bucaramanga–Rionegro Águilas–Winner
1 52%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
152%
X26%
222%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 80% | 51% | 49% |
| 42% | 58% | 76% | 24% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
138%
X44%
218%
1st Score
159%
X7%
234%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
31%
X-1
19%
X-X
17%
2-2
11%
X-2
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
10.7%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
7.3%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Atlético Bucaramanga vs Rionegro Águilas: the stats that stand out
Liga BetPlay
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Atlético Bucaramanga: hard to break and always on the scoresheet · Rionegro Águilas: leaky
1/10Always on the scoresheet
1/10Atlético Bucaramanga failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 28%).
Leaky
1/10Rionegro Águilas kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 28%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Atlético Bucaramanga vs Rionegro Águilas: attack vs defence
Liga BetPlay
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Liga BetPlay teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Atlético Bucaramanga: weak attack, weak defence (1.02 xG, 1.65 xGA a game)
- Rionegro Águilas: good attack, good defence (1.45 xG, 1.23 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Atlético Bucaramanga vs Rionegro Águilas form and luck check
Liga BetPlay
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Liga BetPlay gamesAtlético Bucaramanga riding their luck, Rionegro Águilas unlucky
- Atlético BucaramangaBookmakers: 49% to win today.Clinical · +8 goals+9.3
- Rionegro ÁguilasBookmakers: 24% to win today.−5.9
Last 5 matches
Atlético BucaramangaW
W
W
D
W
Rionegro ÁguilasD
W
L
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Atlético Bucaramanga 7th of 20 · Rionegro Águilas 11th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Atlético Bucaramanga vs Rionegro Águilas: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Liga BetPlay
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Liga BetPlay gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Atlético Bucaramanga and Rionegro Águilas games more often than the Liga BetPlay average (53%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 48%
Atlético Bucaramanga5 of 10
Rionegro Águilas4 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Atlético Bucaramanga8 of 10
Rionegro Águilas6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 411 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Atlético Bucaramanga vs Rionegro Águilas corners, cards and goal times
Liga BetPlay
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameAtlético Bucaramanga score early, Rionegro Águilas late
Atlético Bucaramanga
Rionegro Águilas
2.0
Corners won · league 4.5
6.5
5.5
Corners conceded · league 4.5
5.0
3.7
Cards · league 2.9
2.6
2.7
Opponents' cards · league 2.9
4.3
68%
Goals before half-time · league 46%
33%
16%
Goals after 75' · league 22%
42%
50%
Conceded before half-time · league 46%
40%
20%
Conceded after 75' · league 22%
27%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Rionegro Águilas3/5
Atlético Bucaramanga3/5
Both Teams to Score
Rionegro Águilas2/5
Atlético Bucaramanga3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Rionegro Águilas2/5
Atlético Bucaramanga1/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Rionegro Águilas3/5
Atlético Bucaramanga1/5
First Half Result
Rionegro Águilas1/5
Atlético Bucaramanga0/5
Correct Score
Rionegro Águilas1/5
Atlético Bucaramanga0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction