Leaky
1/10Jaguares de Córdoba kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 28%).
Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 7)
Riding their luck
Santa Fe are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+5points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Santa Fe 69% to winJaguares de Córdoba 10%
Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba score prediction
Liga BetPlay
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.0 goals expected
3.0 goals in total: more goals than a typical Liga BetPlay game (average 2.5).
goals expected
Santa Fe2.2Jaguares de Córdoba0.8Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga BetPlay
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Santa Fe to win
Our model 65%Bookmakers 69%
Our track record
In 1,049 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 6,410 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.4% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 50%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 5,124 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 73%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 4,518 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Santa Fe ahead at half-time
Our model 46%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 4,210 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.6% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Santa Fe Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Santa Fe 2+ goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 3,426 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Jaguares de Córdoba Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Jaguares de Córdoba 0–1 goals
Our model 84%Bookmakers 85%
Our track record
In 1,497 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.6% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Santa Fe–
Jaguares de Córdoba–Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Santa Fe–Jaguares de Córdoba–Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
164%
X22%
213%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15% | 85% | 43% | 57% |
| 53% | 47% | 84% | 16% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71% | 29% | 88% | 12% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
146%
X41%
213%
1st Score
168%
X7%
225%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
41%
X-1
22%
X-X
14%
2-2
6%
X-2
5%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
13.7%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
10.3%
3-0
8.0%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba: the stats that stand out
Liga BetPlay
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Jaguares de Córdoba: leaky · Santa Fe: hard to break
1/10Hard to break
3/10Santa Fe conceded first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba: attack vs defence
Liga BetPlay
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Liga BetPlay teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Santa Fe: good attack, good defence (1.51 xG, 1.24 xGA a game)
- Jaguares de Córdoba: weak attack, weak defence (1.10 xG, 2.01 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba form and luck check
Liga BetPlay
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Liga BetPlay gamesSanta Fe are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Santa FeBookmakers: 69% to win today.+5.3
- Jaguares de CórdobaBookmakers: 10% to win today.Clinical · +4 goals+2.4
Last 5 matches
Santa FeW
W
L
W
W
Jaguares de CórdobaW
L
L
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Santa Fe 6th of 20 · Jaguares de Córdoba 18th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Liga BetPlay
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Liga BetPlay gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Jaguares de Córdoba games more often than the Liga BetPlay average (53%), in Santa Fe games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 48%
Santa Fe4 of 10
Jaguares de Córdoba6 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Santa Fe5 of 10
Jaguares de Córdoba7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 410 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Córdoba corners, cards and goal times
Liga BetPlay
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameJaguares de Córdoba score late
Santa Fe
Jaguares de Córdoba
5.4
Corners won · league 4.5
3.6
4.8
Corners conceded · league 4.5
7.9
2.6
Cards · league 2.9
3.7
3.0
Opponents' cards · league 2.9
2.6
38%
Goals before half-time · league 46%
50%
25%
Goals after 75' · league 22%
36%
38%
Conceded before half-time · league 46%
29%
25%
Conceded after 75' · league 22%
35%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Santa Fe2/5
Jaguares de Córdoba2/5
Both Teams to Score
Santa Fe3/5
Jaguares de Córdoba2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Santa Fe3/5
Jaguares de Córdoba1/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Santa Fe4/5
Jaguares de Córdoba3/5
First Half Result
Santa Fe3/5
Jaguares de Córdoba2/5
Correct Score
Santa Fe0/5
Jaguares de Córdoba0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction