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Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Cali 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 7)

Fair result
Atlético NacionalAtlético Nacional

2–1

Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali
1.7Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances Atlético Nacional would usually take 2.1 points and Deportivo Cali 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Atlético Nacional.

Atlético Nacional +0.9 pts vs chancesDeportivo Cali −0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Cali stats: how the match was played

Liga BetPlay

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Atlético Nacional had more than twice the shots on target

Atlético Nacional

Deportivo Cali

9

Shots on target

3

2

Big chances

1

3

Corners

2

4

Yellow cards

3

1

Red cards

0

51%

Possession

49%

The match between Atlético Nacional and Deportivo Cali ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Atlético Nacional win with 52% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Atlético Nacional – Deportivo Pereira prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).

Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Cali — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético Nacional to win

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,467 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.9% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,475 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,160 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.1%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Atlético Nacional ahead at half-time.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,277 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Atlético Nacional Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético Nacional 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Atlético Nacional 2+ goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,889 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 40.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.6% than to our 50–55%.

Deportivo Cali Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Cali 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 78%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 2,570 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.5% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Cali 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Cali. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga BetPlay - Colombia
Atlético NacionalAtlético Nacional2
Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

152%
X26%
221%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%54%46%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%86%14%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Atlético Nacional21%79%53%47%
Deportivo Cali44%56%78%22%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Atlético Nacional79%21%92%8%
Deportivo Cali94%6%99%1%

1st Half

141%
X43%
216%

1st Score

160%
X8%
231%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

33%

X-1

21%

X-X

16%

2-2

9%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

12.6%

1-1

12.4%

2-0

10.0%

2-1

10.0%

0-0

8.3%

0-1

7.4%

1-2

5.3%

3-0

5.1%

3-1

4.8%

2-2

4.4%

0-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Atlético Nacional – Deportivo Pereira prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).

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