1. Internacional de Bogotá vs Rionegro Águilas

La Equidad vs Rionegro Águilas 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 9)

Robbed

Rionegro Águilas drew despite more chances

La EquidadLa Equidad

2–2

Rionegro ÁguilasRionegro Águilas
0.9Chances (xG)1.9

On these chances La Equidad would usually take 0.7 points and Rionegro Águilas 2.1; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: La Equidad.

La Equidad +0.3 pts vs chancesRionegro Águilas −1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

La Equidad vs Rionegro Águilas stats: how the match was played

Liga BetPlay

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

La Equidad

Rionegro Águilas

4

Shots on target

3

0

Big chances

1

3

Corners

12

7

Yellow cards

2

0

Red cards

1

38%

Possession

62%

The match between La Equidad and Rionegro Águilas ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a La Equidad win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rionegro Águilas – Deportes Tolima prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

La Equidad vs Rionegro Águilas — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

La Equidad to win

Wrong
Our model 39%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 83%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

La Equidad Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

La Equidad 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 68%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Rionegro Águilas Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rionegro Águilas 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 75%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

La Equidad vs Rionegro Águilas 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for La Equidad vs Rionegro Águilas. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
La EquidadLa Equidad2
Rionegro ÁguilasRionegro Águilas2

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

Full Time

139%
X31%
230%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT36%64%62%38%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT72%28%92%8%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
La Equidad31%69%68%32%
Rionegro Águilas39%61%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
La Equidad89%11%97%3%
Rionegro Águilas92%8%98%2%

1st Half

129%
X51%
220%

1st Score

151%
X12%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

23%

1-1

22%

X-1

16%

2-2

14%

X-2

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.9%

1-0

13.3%

0-0

12.1%

0-1

10.6%

2-1

8.4%

2-0

7.5%

1-2

7.0%

0-2

4.9%

2-2

4.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rionegro Águilas – Deportes Tolima prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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