Atlético Bucaramanga vs La Equidad 2-0 Score & Prediction Review
Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 11)
Atlético Bucaramanga2–0
La EquidadOn these chances Atlético Bucaramanga would usually take 1.4 points and La Equidad 1.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Atlético Bucaramanga.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Atlético Bucaramanga vs La Equidad stats: how the match was played
Liga BetPlay
Level on shots on target
Atlético Bucaramanga
La Equidad
4
Shots on target
4
1
Big chances
0
2
Corners
11
3
Yellow cards
2
44%
Possession
56%
Atlético Bucaramanga vs La Equidad — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga BetPlay
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Atlético Bucaramanga to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,737 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 6,314 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,010 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Atlético Bucaramanga 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Atlético Bucaramanga 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,800 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.8% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
La Equidad 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,481 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.6% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Atlético Bucaramanga vs La Equidad 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Atlético Bucaramanga vs La Equidad. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Atlético Bucaramanga2
La Equidad0Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Atlético Bucaramanga2La Equidad0Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 81% | 51% | 49% |
| 47% | 53% | 80% | 20% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
35%
X-1
20%
X-X
16%
2-2
10%
X-2
7%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
13.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
10.4%
0-0
8.2%
3-0
6.5%
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Atlético Bucaramanga vs La Equidad — Recent Form
Atlético Bucaramanga have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. La Equidad have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Atlético BucaramangaLa EquidadOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Atlético BucaramangaLa EquidadBoth Teams to Score
Atlético BucaramangaLa EquidadOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Atlético BucaramangaLa EquidadOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Atlético BucaramangaLa EquidadFirst Half Result
Atlético BucaramangaLa EquidadCorrect Score
Atlético BucaramangaLa Equidad