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Llaneros vs Atlético Nacional 2-0 Score & Prediction Review
Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 11)
Llaneros2–0
Atlético NacionalOn these chances Llaneros would usually take 0.8 points and Atlético Nacional 1.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Atlético Nacional.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Llaneros vs Atlético Nacional stats: how the match was played
Liga BetPlay
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Llaneros
Atlético Nacional
5
Shots on target
5
0
Big chances
0
4
Corners
9
5
Yellow cards
2
21%
Possession
79%
Llaneros vs Atlético Nacional — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga BetPlay
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Atlético Nacional to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,622 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,138 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,328 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,678 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,715 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Llaneros 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
Atlético Nacional 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Atlético Nacional 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 351 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Llaneros vs Atlético Nacional 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Llaneros vs Atlético Nacional. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Llaneros2
Atlético Nacional0Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Llaneros2Atlético Nacional0Winner
X2 71%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38% | 62% | 73% | 27% |
| 28% | 72% | 61% | 39% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
30%
X-2
18%
X-X
17%
1-1
11%
X-1
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
1-1
12.2%
0-1
11.9%
1-0
9.3%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
0-3
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Llaneros vs Atlético Nacional — Recent Form
Atlético Nacional have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. Llaneros have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Atlético NacionalLlanerosOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Atlético NacionalLlanerosBoth Teams to Score
Atlético NacionalLlanerosOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Atlético NacionalLlanerosOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Atlético NacionalLlanerosFirst Half Result
Atlético NacionalLlanerosCorrect Score
Atlético NacionalLlaneros