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Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF

Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 13)

Robbed

Fortaleza CEIF drew despite more chances

Deportivo Pasto

0–0

Fortaleza CEIF

0.3Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Deportivo Pasto would usually take 0.6 points and Fortaleza CEIF 2.1; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Deportivo Pasto.

Deportivo Pasto +0.4 pts vs chancesFortaleza CEIF −1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF stats: how the match was played

Liga BetPlay

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Fortaleza CEIF had more than twice the shots on target

Deportivo Pasto

Fortaleza CEIF

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

49%

Possession

51%

The match between Deportivo Pasto and Fortaleza CEIF ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Deportivo Pasto win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Deportivo Pasto – Alianza Petrolera prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).

Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Pasto to win

Wrong

Our model 39%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 2,117 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,507 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,341 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 79%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,683 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 50%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 4,252 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Deportivo Pasto Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Pasto 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Fortaleza CEIF Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fortaleza CEIF 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 72%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,383 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

Deportivo Pasto0

Fortaleza CEIF0

Winner

12 70%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

Deportivo Pasto0

Fortaleza CEIF0

Winner

12 70%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

139%

X30%

230%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	32%	68%	59%	41%	69%	31%	90%	10%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	32%	68%	59%	41%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	69%	31%	90%	10%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	30%	70%	65%	35%	88%	12%	96%	4%
	36%	64%	72%	28%	91%	9%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	30%	70%	65%	35%
	36%	64%	72%	28%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	88%	12%	96%	4%
	91%	9%	98%	2%

1st Half

129%

X50%

221%

1st Score

151%

X10%

238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

X-X

21%

X-1

16%

2-2

14%

X-2

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

13.8%

1-0

11.9%

0-0

10.4%

0-1

9.9%

2-1

8.6%

2-0

7.8%

1-2

7.1%

0-2

5.2%

2-2

5.1%

3-1

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF — Recent Form

Deportivo Pasto have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 20th in the table. Fortaleza CEIF have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Deportivo Pasto

Fortaleza CEIF

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Fortaleza CEIF

0/5

Deportivo Pasto

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Fortaleza CEIF

3/5

Deportivo Pasto

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Fortaleza CEIF

2/5

Deportivo Pasto

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Fortaleza CEIF

2/5

Deportivo Pasto

4/5

First Half Result

Fortaleza CEIF

2/5

Deportivo Pasto

4/5

Correct Score

Fortaleza CEIF

1/5

Deportivo Pasto

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Deportivo Pasto – Alianza Petrolera prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).