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Atlético Bucaramanga vs Junior FC

Atlético Bucaramanga vs Junior FC 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 13)

Smash-and-grab

Atlético Bucaramanga won with less than half the chances

Atlético Bucaramanga

3–1

Junior FC

1.1Chances (xG)2.9

On these chances Atlético Bucaramanga would usually take 0.5 points and Junior FC 2.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Atlético Bucaramanga.

Atlético Bucaramanga +2.5 pts vs chancesJunior FC −2.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Atlético Bucaramanga vs Junior FC stats: how the match was played

Liga BetPlay

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Junior FC had more than twice the shots on target

Atlético Bucaramanga

Junior FC

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

43%

Possession

57%

The match between Atlético Bucaramanga and Junior FC ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Atlético Bucaramanga win with 52% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Both Teams To Score.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Atlético Bucaramanga – América de Cali prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Atlético Bucaramanga vs Junior FC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético Bucaramanga to win

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 2,496 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,507 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 50%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,197 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 74%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 4,594 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 44%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,726 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Atlético Bucaramanga Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético Bucaramanga 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,828 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Junior FC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Junior FC 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 76%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,601 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Atlético Bucaramanga vs Junior FC 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Atlético Bucaramanga vs Junior FC. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

Atlético Bucaramanga3

Junior FC1

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

· FT

Liga BetPlay - Colombia

Atlético Bucaramanga3

Junior FC1

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Full Time

152%

X25%

223%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	26%	74%	50%	50%	64%	36%	86%	14%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	26%	74%	50%	50%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	64%	36%	86%	14%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	20%	80%	52%	48%	79%	21%	92%	8%
	41%	59%	76%	24%	93%	7%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	20%	80%	52%	48%
	41%	59%	76%	24%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	79%	21%	92%	8%
	93%	7%	98%	2%

1st Half

137%

X44%

219%

1st Score

161%

X7%

232%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

30%

X-1

19%

X-X

17%

2-2

11%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

12.1%

1-0

11.7%

2-1

10.9%

2-0

9.3%

0-0

7.2%

0-1

6.9%

1-2

6.2%

3-0

5.1%

2-2

5.1%

3-1

5.0%

0-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Atlético Bucaramanga vs Junior FC — Recent Form

Atlético Bucaramanga have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table. Junior FC have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Atlético Bucaramanga

Junior FC

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Junior FC

2/5

Atlético Bucaramanga

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Junior FC

3/5

Atlético Bucaramanga

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Junior FC

2/5

Atlético Bucaramanga

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Junior FC

2/5

Atlético Bucaramanga

2/5

First Half Result

Junior FC

3/5

Atlético Bucaramanga

0/5

Correct Score

Junior FC

0/5

Atlético Bucaramanga

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Atlético Bucaramanga – América de Cali prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).