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Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima 0-0 Score & Prediction Review
Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 9)
Atlético Nacional0–0
Deportes TolimaOn these chances Atlético Nacional would usually take 1.2 points and Deportes Tolima 1.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Atlético Nacional.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima stats: how the match was played
Liga BetPlay
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Atlético Nacional
Deportes Tolima
6
Shots on target
8
0
Big chances
0
4
Corners
6
0
Yellow cards
2
60%
Possession
40%
Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga BetPlay
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Atlético Nacional to win
WrongOur track record
In 1,805 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,101 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,543 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Our model’s pick
Atlético Nacional 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
Deportes Tolima 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Atlético Nacional0
Deportes Tolima0Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Atlético Nacional0Deportes Tolima0Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16% | 84% | 46% | 54% |
| 48% | 52% | 81% | 19% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74% | 26% | 90% | 10% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
38%
X-1
20%
X-X
16%
2-2
8%
X-2
6%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
12.4%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
10.7%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
5.4%
2-2
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima — Recent Form
Atlético Nacional have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Deportes Tolima have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Atlético NacionalDeportes TolimaOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Atlético NacionalDeportes TolimaBoth Teams to Score
Atlético NacionalDeportes TolimaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Atlético NacionalDeportes TolimaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Atlético NacionalDeportes TolimaFirst Half Result
Atlético NacionalDeportes TolimaCorrect Score
Atlético NacionalDeportes Tolima