Atlas vs América Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)

Always on the scoresheet

América scored in all of their last 10 (league 24% fail to score).

0/10Failed to score · América

Atlas vs América score prediction

Liga MX

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

2.7 goals in total, a little under the Liga MX average of 2.9.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
The match Atlas vs América will be played on Thursday, October 22 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 13 of the Liga MX, played in Mexico. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Atlas vs América, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.

Atlas vs América — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Atlas vs América. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

AtlasAtlas–
AméricaAmérica–

Winner

X2 76%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

0-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Full Time

124%
X26%
250%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%52%48%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT64%36%86%14%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Atlas41%59%75%25%
América23%77%55%45%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Atlas92%8%98%2%
América80%20%93%7%

1st Half

121%
X43%
236%

1st Score

136%
X8%
255%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

29%

X-2

18%

X-X

15%

1-1

13%

X-1

9%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

0-1

12.0%

1-1

12.0%

1-2

9.7%

0-2

8.8%

0-0

8.3%

1-0

7.5%

2-1

6.0%

2-2

4.8%

1-3

4.8%

0-3

4.7%

2-0

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Atlas vs América: the stats that stand out

Liga MX

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

América: always on the scoresheet, banker as favourites and brick wall

Always on the scoresheet
América0/10

América scored in all of their last 10 (league 24% fail to score).

Banker as favourites
América6/8

América won 6 of 8 as favourites (league 50%).

Brick wall
América4/10

América kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 24%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Atlas vs América: attack vs defence

Liga MX

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Liga MX teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • AtlasAtlas: weak attack, weak defence (1.40 xG, 1.70 xGA a game)
  • AméricaAmérica: good attack, good defence (2.24 xG, 1.58 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Atlas vs América form and luck check

Liga MX

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Liga MX games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Atlas
    Atlas9 of 10 games
    +3.6
  • América
    América
    +2.3

Last 5 matches

AméricaAmérica
D
W
D
L
W
1st in table
AtlasAtlas
D
W
D
L
D
6th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Atlas 14th of 18 · América 3rd of 18

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Atlas vs América: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Liga MX

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Liga MX gamesBTTS = both teams scored

América games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Liga MX average (54%), Atlas games less often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%
Atlas4 of 10
América7 of 10
BTTSleague 59%
Atlas7 of 10
América6 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 322 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Atlas vs América corners, cards and goal times

Liga MX

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameAtlas: last 9 with these statsPro · free for now

Goal times close to the Liga MX average

Atlas

América

5.9

Corners won · league 4.9

7.9

5.7

Corners conceded · league 4.9

5.1

2.2

Cards · league 2.3

1.6

1.7

Opponents' cards · league 2.3

3.0

54%

Goals before half-time · league 45%

38%

31%

Goals after 75' · league 23%

21%

60%

Conceded before half-time · league 45%

85%

13%

Conceded after 75' · league 23%

0%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

AtlasAtlas
1/5
AméricaAmérica
2/5

Both Teams to Score

AtlasAtlas
5/5
AméricaAmérica
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

AtlasAtlas
3/5
AméricaAmérica
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

AtlasAtlas
3/5
AméricaAmérica
2/5

First Half Result

AtlasAtlas
3/5
AméricaAmérica
3/5

Correct Score

AtlasAtlas
2/5
AméricaAmérica
1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores