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Atlético San Luis vs Atlas

Atlético San Luis vs Atlas 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 15)

Smash-and-grab

Atlas won with less than half the chances

Atlético San Luis

0–1

Atlas

1.7Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances Atlético San Luis would usually take 2.1 points and Atlas 0.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Atlético San Luis.

Atlético San Luis −2.1 pts vs chancesAtlas +2.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Atlético San Luis vs Atlas stats: how the match was played

Liga MX

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Atlético San Luis had more than twice the shots on target

Atlético San Luis

Atlas

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

56%

Possession

44%

The match between Atlético San Luis and Atlas ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Atlético San Luis win at 38% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Atlético San Luis – Juárez prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).

Atlético San Luis vs Atlas — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga MX

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético San Luis to win

Wrong

Our model 38%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,101 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 65%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 419 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.1% of the time (bookmakers said 65.4%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 64%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 963 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 59.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 45%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 6,696 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Atlético San Luis Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético San Luis 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,828 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Atlas Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlas 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 1,599 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 60.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Atlético San Luis vs Atlas 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Atlético San Luis vs Atlas. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga MX - Mexico

Atlético San Luis0

Atlas1

Winner

12 76%

BTTS*

Yes 65%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 52%

· FT

Liga MX - Mexico

Atlético San Luis0

Atlas1

Winner

12 76%

BTTS*

Yes 65%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 52%

Full Time

138%

X24%

238%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	17%	83%	36%	64%	48%	52%	74%	26%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	17%	83%	36%	64%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	48%	52%	74%	26%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	25%	75%	55%	45%	79%	21%	92%	8%
	26%	74%	55%	45%	78%	22%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	55%	45%
	26%	74%	55%	45%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	79%	21%	92%	8%
	78%	22%	91%	9%

1st Half

131%

X45%

224%

1st Score

152%

X4%

244%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

2-2

16%

X-1

15%

X-X

15%

X-2

14%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.3%

2-1

8.3%

1-2

8.2%

2-2

6.8%

1-0

6.5%

0-1

5.8%

2-0

5.0%

0-2

4.5%

1-3

4.4%

3-1

4.4%

0-0

4.2%

2-3

3.9%

3-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Atlético San Luis vs Atlas — Recent Form

Atlas have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Atlético San Luis have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Atlas

Atlético San Luis

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Atlas

2/5

Atlético San Luis

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Atlas

3/5

Atlético San Luis

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Atlas

1/5

Atlético San Luis

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Atlas

3/5

Atlético San Luis

5/5

First Half Result

Atlas

3/5

Atlético San Luis

4/5

Correct Score

Atlas

0/5

Atlético San Luis

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Atlético San Luis – Juárez prediction & betting tips (Nov 7, 2026).