Pachuca vs Querétaro 1-2 Score & Prediction Review
Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)
Pachuca1–2
QuerétaroOn these chances Pachuca would usually take 1.1 points and Querétaro 1.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Pachuca.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Pachuca vs Querétaro stats: how the match was played
Liga MX
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Querétaro had more than twice the shots on target
Pachuca
Querétaro
2
Shots on target
5
3
Big chances
4
1
Corners
6
2
Yellow cards
3
55%
Possession
45%
Pachuca vs Querétaro — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga MX
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Pachuca to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Pachuca ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 531 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Pachuca 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Pachuca 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Querétaro 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Pachuca vs Querétaro 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Pachuca vs Querétaro. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Pachuca1
Querétaro2Winner
1X 76%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Pachuca1Querétaro2Winner
1X 76%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 56% | 44% |
| 42% | 58% | 75% | 25% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
X-1
20%
X-X
18%
2-2
12%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
12.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score