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Atlas vs Monterrey 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result
AtlasAtlas

0–2

MonterreyMonterrey
0.6Chances (xG)1.9

On these chances Atlas would usually take 0.6 points and Monterrey 2.2; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Atlas.

Atlas −0.6 pts vs chancesMonterrey +0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Atlas vs Monterrey stats: how the match was played

Liga MX

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Monterrey had more than twice the shots on target

Atlas

Monterrey

1

Shots on target

4

0

Big chances

3

6

Corners

2

5

Yellow cards

2

2

Red cards

1

46%

Possession

54%

The match between Atlas and Monterrey ended 0-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Monterrey win with 42% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Monterrey – Pachuca prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Atlas vs Monterrey — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga MX

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Monterrey to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Atlas to win.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Atlas Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlas 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Monterrey Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Monterrey 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Atlas vs Monterrey 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Atlas vs Monterrey. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga MX - Mexico
AtlasAtlas0
MonterreyMonterrey2

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

132%
X26%
242%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT26%74%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT62%38%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Atlas34%66%68%32%
Monterrey27%73%59%41%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Atlas89%11%97%3%
Monterrey82%18%93%7%

1st Half

121%
X46%
233%

1st Score

139%
X8%
253%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

25%

X-2

19%

X-X

18%

1-1

13%

X-1

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.9%

0-1

9.7%

1-0

8.9%

1-2

8.6%

0-0

7.9%

2-1

7.1%

0-2

6.9%

2-0

5.4%

2-2

5.3%

1-3

4.2%

0-3

3.4%

3-1

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Monterrey – Pachuca prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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