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Atlético San Luis vs Pachuca 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)

Robbed

Atlético San Luis drew despite more chances

Atlético San LuisAtlético San Luis

1–1

PachucaPachuca
2.3Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Atlético San Luis would usually take 2.2 points and Pachuca 0.7; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Pachuca.

Atlético San Luis −1.2 pts vs chancesPachuca +0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Atlético San Luis vs Pachuca stats: how the match was played

Liga MX

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Atlético San Luis had more than twice the shots on target

Atlético San Luis

Pachuca

7

Shots on target

2

6

Big chances

3

1

Corners

4

0

Yellow cards

2

0

Red cards

1

69%

Possession

31%

The match between Atlético San Luis and Pachuca ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted an Pachuca win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Monterrey – Pachuca prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Atlético San Luis vs Pachuca — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga MX

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Pachuca to win

Wrong
Our model 40%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 42%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Atlético San Luis Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético San Luis 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Pachuca Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Pachuca 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Atlético San Luis vs Pachuca 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Atlético San Luis vs Pachuca. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga MX - Mexico
Atlético San LuisAtlético San Luis1
PachucaPachuca1

Winner

X2 64%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

136%
X24%
240%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT19%81%39%61%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT51%49%76%24%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Atlético San Luis28%72%58%42%
Pachuca26%74%55%45%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Atlético San Luis82%18%93%7%
Pachuca79%21%91%9%

1st Half

130%
X42%
228%

1st Score

149%
X5%
246%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

21%

2-2

20%

X-X

16%

X-1

13%

X-2

12%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.6%

1-2

8.5%

2-1

8.1%

1-0

7.0%

0-1

6.8%

2-2

6.4%

0-2

5.2%

2-0

5.0%

0-0

4.9%

1-3

4.4%

3-1

4.0%

2-3

3.7%

3-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Monterrey – Pachuca prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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