Monterrey vs Atlético San Luis 1-3 Score & Prediction Review
Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
Atlético San Luis won with less than half the chances
Monterrey1–3
Atlético San LuisOn these chances Monterrey would usually take 2.2 points and Atlético San Luis 0.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Monterrey.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Monterrey vs Atlético San Luis stats: how the match was played
Liga MX
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Monterrey had more than twice the shots on target
Monterrey
Atlético San Luis
8
Shots on target
4
3
Big chances
4
14
Corners
1
1
Yellow cards
2
72%
Possession
29%
Monterrey vs Atlético San Luis — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga MX
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Monterrey to win
WrongOur track record
In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Monterrey ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Monterrey 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
Atlético San Luis 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Monterrey vs Atlético San Luis 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Monterrey vs Atlético San Luis. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Monterrey1
Atlético San Luis3Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Monterrey1Atlético San Luis3Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 42% | 58% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15% | 85% | 41% | 59% |
| 47% | 53% | 78% | 22% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 33% | 85% | 15% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
34%
X-1
19%
X-X
13%
2-2
9%
1-X
6%
X-2
6%
2-1
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
Correct Score
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10.2%
2-0
10.0%
1-1
9.8%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.0%
1-2
4.7%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score