Querétaro vs León 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
León drew despite more chances
Querétaro1–1
LeónOn these chances Querétaro would usually take 0.9 points and León 1.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: León.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Querétaro vs León stats: how the match was played
Liga MX
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
León had clearly more shots on target
Querétaro
León
4
Shots on target
7
1
Big chances
4
8
Corners
1
4
Yellow cards
3
39%
Possession
61%
Querétaro vs León — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga MX
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Querétaro to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: León to win.
Our track record
In 1,528 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
Querétaro 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
León 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Querétaro vs León 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Querétaro vs León. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Querétaro1
León1Winner
1X 64%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Querétaro1León1Winner
1X 64%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 58% | 42% |
| 30% | 70% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
21%
1-1
17%
X-2
17%
X-X
16%
X-1
12%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
0-1
7.7%
2-0
6.3%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Querétaro vs León — Recent Form
Querétaro have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. León have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table.
Last 5 matches
QuerétaroLeónOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
QuerétaroLeónBoth Teams to Score
QuerétaroLeónOver/Under 2.5 Goals
QuerétaroLeónOver/Under 3.5 Goals
QuerétaroLeónFirst Half Result
QuerétaroLeónCorrect Score
QuerétaroLeón