Nantes vs Angers SCO 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Ligue 1 - Season 2022/2023 (Round 38)
Nantes1–0
Angers SCOOn these chances Nantes would usually take 2.0 points and Angers SCO 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Nantes.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Nantes vs Angers SCO stats: how the match was played
Ligue 1
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Nantes had more than twice the shots on target
Nantes
Angers SCO
7
Shots on target
1
1
Big chances
0
8
Corners
1
1
Yellow cards
0
32%
Possession
68%
Nantes vs Angers SCO — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ligue 1
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Nantes to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,471 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.8% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,122 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,836 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,551 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
Our model’s pick
Nantes ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,656 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Nantes 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Nantes 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,855 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Angers SCO 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,578 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.8% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Nantes vs Angers SCO 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Nantes vs Angers SCO. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Nantes1
Angers SCO0Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Nantes1Angers SCO0Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 54% | 46% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 53% | 47% |
| 46% | 54% | 78% | 22% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
34%
X-1
18%
X-X
12%
2-2
12%
X-2
9%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
13.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score