Olympique Lyonnais vs Rennes 4-0 Score & Prediction Review
Ligue 1 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)
Olympique Lyonnais4–0
RennesOn these chances Olympique Lyonnais would usually take 1.7 points and Rennes 1.1; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Olympique Lyonnais.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Olympique Lyonnais vs Rennes stats: how the match was played
Ligue 1
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Olympique Lyonnais had more than twice the shots on target
Olympique Lyonnais
Rennes
9
Shots on target
4
6
Big chances
3
3
Corners
8
4
Yellow cards
2
46%
Possession
54%
Olympique Lyonnais vs Rennes — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ligue 1
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Olympique Lyonnais to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).
Our model’s pick
Olympique Lyonnais ahead at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.
Our track record
In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Olympique Lyonnais 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
Rennes 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Olympique Lyonnais vs Rennes 4-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Olympique Lyonnais vs Rennes. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Olympique Lyonnais4
Rennes0Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Olympique Lyonnais4Rennes0Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 35% | 65% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 48% | 52% | 73% | 27% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 81% | 46% | 54% |
| 32% | 68% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72% | 28% | 88% | 12% |
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
2-2
17%
X-1
16%
X-X
13%
X-2
8%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
7.0%
1-0
6.9%
2-0
6.0%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
4.9%
3-2
4.1%
3-0
4.0%
0-0
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Olympique Lyonnais vs Rennes — Recent Form
Rennes have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Olympique Lyonnais have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table.
Last 5 matches
RennesOlympique LyonnaisOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Olympique LyonnaisRennesBoth Teams to Score
Olympique LyonnaisRennesOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Olympique LyonnaisRennesOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Olympique LyonnaisRennesFirst Half Result
Olympique LyonnaisRennesCorrect Score
Olympique LyonnaisRennes