2. Leagues
  3. Ligue 2
  4. Nancy vs Dunkerque

Nancy vs Dunkerque 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Ligue 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

Fair result
NancyNancy

2–0

DunkerqueDunkerque
2.2Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances Nancy would usually take 2.3 points and Dunkerque 0.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Nancy.

Nancy +0.7 pts vs chancesDunkerque −0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Nancy vs Dunkerque stats: how the match was played

Ligue 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Nancy had more than twice the shots on target

Nancy

Dunkerque

4

Shots on target

2

8

Big chances

1

1

Corners

3

0

Yellow cards

2

0

Red cards

1

59%

Possession

41%

The match between Nancy and Dunkerque ended 2-0. Our AI model predicted an Dunkerque win at 38% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Nancy – Laval prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Nancy vs Dunkerque — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligue 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dunkerque to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Nancy to win.

Our model 38%Bookmakers 29%

Our track record

In 1,530 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,722 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,327 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,982 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 4,242 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.7% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Nancy Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nancy 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,467 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Dunkerque Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dunkerque 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 1,614 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Nancy vs Dunkerque 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Nancy vs Dunkerque. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Ligue 2 - France
NancyNancy2
DunkerqueDunkerque0

Winner

12 74%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

136%
X26%
238%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT57%43%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Nancy28%72%60%40%
Dunkerque28%72%59%41%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Nancy84%16%94%6%
Dunkerque82%18%94%6%

1st Half

129%
X46%
225%

1st Score

150%
X6%
244%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

21%

2-2

20%

X-X

17%

X-1

14%

X-2

12%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.6%

1-2

8.9%

2-1

8.5%

0-1

7.8%

1-0

7.6%

0-0

6.3%

2-2

6.3%

2-0

5.6%

0-2

5.4%

1-3

3.8%

3-1

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Nancy – Laval prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores