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  4. Grenoble Foot 38 vs Clermont

Grenoble Foot 38 vs Clermont 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Ligue 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result
Grenoble Foot 38Grenoble Foot 38

1–1

ClermontClermont
1.1Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Grenoble Foot 38 would usually take 1.4 points and Clermont 1.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Grenoble Foot 38.

Grenoble Foot 38 −0.4 pts vs chancesClermont −0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Grenoble Foot 38 vs Clermont stats: how the match was played

Ligue 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Clermont had more than twice the shots on target

Grenoble Foot 38

Clermont

2

Shots on target

5

2

Big chances

1

5

Corners

4

2

Yellow cards

3

43%

Possession

57%

The match between Grenoble Foot 38 and Clermont ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Grenoble Foot 38 win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Clermont – Guingamp prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Grenoble Foot 38 vs Clermont — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligue 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Grenoble Foot 38 to win

Wrong
Our model 39%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 2,096 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,077 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 82%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 1,715 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 1,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Grenoble Foot 38 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Grenoble Foot 38 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,677 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Clermont Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Clermont 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Grenoble Foot 38 vs Clermont 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Grenoble Foot 38 vs Clermont. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Ligue 2 - France
Grenoble Foot 38Grenoble Foot 381
ClermontClermont1

Winner

12 70%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

Full Time

139%
X30%
231%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT36%64%62%38%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT72%28%91%9%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Grenoble Foot 3832%68%68%32%
Clermont38%62%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Grenoble Foot 3889%11%97%3%
Clermont92%8%98%2%

1st Half

125%
X51%
225%

1st Score

148%
X12%
241%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

21%

1-1

19%

2-2

17%

X-1

14%

X-2

13%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.6%

1-0

13.3%

0-0

11.6%

0-1

10.8%

2-1

7.8%

2-0

7.6%

1-2

6.7%

0-2

5.5%

2-2

4.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Clermont – Guingamp prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

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