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Boulogne vs Nantes 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Ligue 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result
BoulogneBoulogne

1–2

NantesNantes
0.8Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Boulogne would usually take 0.8 points and Nantes 1.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Nantes.

Boulogne −0.8 pts vs chancesNantes +1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Boulogne vs Nantes stats: how the match was played

Ligue 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Boulogne

Nantes

2

Shots on target

2

1

Big chances

2

1

Corners

6

3

Yellow cards

1

1

Red cards

0

50%

Possession

50%

The match between Boulogne and Nantes ended 1-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Nantes win with 42% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Saint-Étienne – Nantes prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Boulogne vs Nantes — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligue 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nantes to win

Correct
Our model 42%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 3,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 56%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 544 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,077 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 82%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 1,713 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Boulogne Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Boulogne 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 830 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 73.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Nantes Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nantes 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 66%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,268 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Boulogne vs Nantes 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Boulogne vs Nantes. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Ligue 2 - France
BoulogneBoulogne1
NantesNantes2

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

0-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

Full Time

127%
X31%
242%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT37%63%64%36%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT72%28%91%9%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Boulogne42%58%77%23%
Nantes31%69%66%34%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Boulogne94%6%99%1%
Nantes87%13%96%4%

1st Half

121%
X45%
234%

1st Score

137%
X13%
250%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

26%

X-X

20%

X-2

16%

1-1

13%

X-1

10%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

0-1

13.7%

1-1

13.6%

0-0

12.6%

1-0

10.9%

0-2

8.3%

1-2

7.9%

2-1

5.8%

2-0

5.1%

2-2

4.1%

1-3

3.4%

0-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Saint-Étienne – Nantes prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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